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Only New Knowledge will Bring Peace Howard M. Chandler, Ph.D. Does anyone believe that smashing the Gaza Strip will create a safe, peaceful Israel? Is there a better solution that does not invite escalation? In fact more than 20 published studies offer the possibility of a simple solution requiring only 300 people to protect Israel or about 1800 to pacify the entire Middle East. This technology is outside-the-box, but can Israel risk dismissing the group practice of Transcendental Meditation and the advanced Yogic Flying (http://www.permanentpeace.org)? Sceptics endlessly ridicule and raise alternative explanations, but the bottom line is a substantial body of independently reviewed and published scientific evidence – much more evidence than Marconi could offer when the military chose to stick with passenger pigeons rather than investigate radio. Harvard University researchers (myself included) conducted an especially relevant 2-month intervention study in 1983 when the Israeli army was deep in Lebanon. Results were predicted in advance to scientific review boards in the USA and Israel, and Yale University editors published the findings in the Journal of Conflict Resolution (Vol. 32: pp. 776–812). Using Box-Jenkins ARIMA time-series intervention analysis to control for alternative explanations like temperature, and using cross-lagged panel analyses to determine the direction of causality, we found that when the size of the meditation group in Jerusalem was large, war and terrorism deaths dropped by 76% on average. Crime and automobile accidents also decreased significantly. These findings were first reported 25 years ago, and still the concept seems too “far out” for government or people to act. (See, for example, “Forget F-16s, Israel needs Yogic Flyers to beat Hizbullah”; July 23, 2006; J Post). But in light of current events, if we continue to ignore the potential validity of alternative approaches to peace, then do we not remain part of the problem rather than part of the solution. And who can say what horror further inaction may bring? Partial list of published papers American Statistical Association, Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section, pp. 38–43, 1996. Journal of Conflict Resolution 32: 776–812, 1988. Journal of Crime and Justice 4: 25–45, 1981. Journal of Offender Rehabilitation 36: 283–302, 2003. Journal of Social Behavior and Personality 17: 285–338, 2005. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Business and Economics Statistics Section: 799–804, 1987. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Business and Economics Statistics Section: 491–496, 1988. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Business and Economics Statistics Section: 565–570, 1989. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Social Science Statistics Section: 297–302, 1990. Psychology, Crime, and Law 2: 165–174, 1996. Psychological Reports 76: 1171–1193, 1995. Social Indicators Research 22: 399–418, 1990. Social Indicators Research 47: 153–201, 1999. Social Science Perspectives Journal 2(4): 80–94, 1988. The Journal of Mind and Behavior 8: 67–104, 1987. The Journal of Mind and Behavior 9: 457–486, 1988
Only New Knowledge will Bring Peace Howard M. Chandler, Ph.D. Does anyone believe that smashing the Gaza Strip will create a safe, peaceful Israel? Is there a better solution that does not invite escalation? In fact more than 20 published studies offer the possibility of a simple solution requiring only 300 people to protect Israel or about 1800 to pacify the entire Middle East. This technology is outside-the-box, but can Israel risk dismissing the group practice of Transcendental Meditation and the advanced Yogic Flying (http://www.permanentpeace.org)? Sceptics endlessly ridicule and raise alternative explanations, but the bottom line is a substantial body of independently reviewed and published scientific evidence – much more evidence than Marconi could offer when the military chose to stick with passenger pigeons rather than investigate radio. Harvard University researchers (myself included) conducted an especially relevant 2-month intervention study in 1983 when the Israeli army was deep in Lebanon. Results were predicted in advance to scientific review boards in the USA and Israel, and Yale University editors published the findings in the Journal of Conflict Resolution (Vol. 32: pp. 776–812). Using Box-Jenkins ARIMA time-series intervention analysis to control for alternative explanations like temperature, and using cross-lagged panel analyses to determine the direction of causality, we found that when the size of the meditation group in Jerusalem was large, war and terrorism deaths dropped by 76% on average. Crime and automobile accidents also decreased significantly. These findings were first reported 25 years ago, and still the concept seems too “far out” for government or people to act. (See, for example, “Forget F-16s, Israel needs Yogic Flyers to beat Hizbullah”; July 23, 2006; J Post). But in light of current events, if we continue to ignore the potential validity of alternative approaches to peace, then do we not remain part of the problem rather than part of the solution. And who can say what horror further inaction may bring? Partial list of published papers American Statistical Association, Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section, pp. 38–43, 1996. Journal of Conflict Resolution 32: 776–812, 1988. Journal of Crime and Justice 4: 25–45, 1981. Journal of Offender Rehabilitation 36: 283–302, 2003. Journal of Social Behavior and Personality 17: 285–338, 2005. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Business and Economics Statistics Section: 799–804, 1987. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Business and Economics Statistics Section: 491–496, 1988. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Business and Economics Statistics Section: 565–570, 1989. Proceedings of the Amer. Stat. Association, Social Science Statistics Section: 297–302, 1990. Psychology, Crime, and Law 2: 165–174, 1996. Psychological Reports 76: 1171–1193, 1995. Social Indicators Research 22: 399–418, 1990. Social Indicators Research 47: 153–201, 1999. Social Science Perspectives Journal 2(4): 80–94, 1988. The Journal of Mind and Behavior 8: 67–104, 1987. The Journal of Mind and Behavior 9: 457–486, 1988